Friday, December 22, 2006

Been Wrong Before

I went out on a limb just as the ISG (anyone remember Baker-Hamilton?) came out with it's recommendations and predicted the US would draft a new strategy which sided with the Shiia, drove the Sunni out, and started serious negotiations over a Palestinian state. I never would have guessed the un-prodigal son would have given his Dad's councilor the finger but I can see him liking the sound of a "last chance surge" and all the drama it invokes. I thought the Saudi's would accede to my plan, good businessmen that they are, and they still could.

Condi, meanwhile, now has to be prepared with a real offer for Abbas while pretending not to notice the new West Bank settlements. The downtown Damascus Hilton can barely keep clean sheets for the visiting Dems and it would seem the recent Iranian election results might have created an opening there but I'm wrong again. And now we wait for "The January Speech"! Condi on Iraq: "Once it emerges as a country that is a stabilizing factor you will have a very different Middle East," and as for you young fellas on the line,"It is worth the investment." Red Holiday dress, straight face.

Over at neo-neocon you can learn that the US lost the war in Viet Nam because of that original cut and run traitor ,Walter Cronkite. RIP. He's being swift-boated into the right-wing pantheon of appeasors, liberal media flacks and recievers of sexual favors. The War on Terror is now the Battle of Modernism, which conservatives are now "mostly " in favor of. As long as Modern means cell phones and not gay marriage. For my own take, there is a long essay called Struggle For The Future over at clearheadwaters.

"The historic ascent of man, taken as a whole , may be summarized a s a succession of victories of consciousness over blind forces- in nature, in society, in man himself." Leon Trotsky

5 Comments:

At 5:39 PM, Blogger Frank Partisan said...

When you think of James Baker, think Saudi interests.

Actually Bush is to the left of the Baker group in some ways. Again the Baker group, is hanging the Kurdish out to dry.

Holiday Greetings

 
At 6:30 PM, Blogger troutsky said...

Thanks renegade, it has been a great year in the company of such interesting blog mates.

Are you saying Bakers interests coincide more with Turkey? Or with the Saudi Sunni? It's almost unfathomable that a lasting peace can be built now around Sunni inclusion, especially after decades of Sunni colusion with Baathists, but as the post says, been wrong before. I always resist the "man of influence" concept of history but there is no denying the insane scope of Bakers power.

 
At 7:10 AM, Blogger furtherleft said...

So the great hustler said "There is one born every minute". My guess is Barnum was off just a bit. Wonder what the gringo birth rate is per minute.

 
At 10:15 AM, Blogger troutsky said...

Pocho likes the broad brush approach,like all gringos are suckers. This kind of "analysis" doesnt leave a whole lot of room for debate now, does it.

 
At 12:08 PM, Blogger A Wiser Man Than I said...

Condi on Iraq: "Once it emerges as a country that is a stabilizing factor you will have a very different Middle East..."

Because the Middle East is so prone to change. Oh wait.

Fred has an absolutely scathing essay on the way the politicians are treating the troops in Iraq.

 

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